Special elections to United States Senate are often required in the event of vacancies. This majority fell to a 52-48 split in 2017, and with the special election victory of Alabama Sen. Doug Jones (D) shrinking the Republican majority to 51-49 in 2018. Four Senate Races To Watch As The GOP Rushes To Fill RBG’s Seat By Nathaniel Rakich, Michael Tabb and Tony Chow. The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in the 2020 election cycle. In 2014, the Republican Party picked up nine seats, resulting in their having more seats to defend in 2020. Summary of each race with links to polls and commentary. It costs us approximately $68 per year to write and maintain each of our encyclopedic articles—like the one you just read. The congressional approval rating indicates public satisfaction in the job performance of the members of the United States Congress. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");if(t)(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}})}(); Ballotpedia has identified 16 races as general election battlegrounds. Of those, 402—199 Democrats and 203 Republicans—were from one of the two major political parties. The original election projection website, since 2003. Democrat Jon Ossoff is running close with GOP Sen. David Perdue in the polls â but if neither candidate earns a majority in November, the two will advance to a January 2021 runoff. To see a list of all the Congressional special elections referenced in the table above, click [show] at the right. The majority of the U.S. Senate can sometimes shift due to unexpected circumstances. Additional information will be added as it becomes available. A consensus outlook for the 2020 Senate elections based on the current ratings of forecasters at Sabato's Crystal Ball, The Cook Political Report, and Inside Elections, as well as the probabilistic FiveThirtyEight model. Communications: Kristen Vonasek • Kayla Harris • Megan Brown • Mary Dunne • Sarah Groat • Heidi Jung See something wrong with our data? All posts tagged “2020 Senate Elections” Sep. 24, 2020. It is the percentage of people polled who responded favorably toward the work of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. The table below lists filing deadlines and primary dates in each state for Democratic Party and Republican Party candidates for congressional and state-level office.[15]. The chart below shows historical partisan breakdown information for the chamber. Of the 16 seats, four have Democratic incumbents and 12 have Republican incumbents heading into the election. Democrats will need to gain 3 or 4 seats to take control. Use the buttons below the map to share it on social media or embed it into a web page. Display excludes Arizona and Georgia seats with special elections in 2020. The map and table below show what seats are up for election and the current incumbent in each race. Republican Martha McSally became the first Republican to lose a Senate race in Arizona since 1988 â only to then score an appointment to the state's other Senate seat. She faces Democrat Mark Kelly, the husband of former Rep. Gabby Giffords (D-Ariz.) and a prolific fundraiser. SENATE GOP 49 -4 DEM 49 +4. Battle for the Senate 2020. Previous statewide and congressional district election results data from the MIT Election Lab. The following table shows the top U.S. Senate fundraisers of the 2020 election cycle based on FEC filings through either June 30 or July 15, 2020. Election Projection. Senator, Colorado. Nine senators died from 1953 to 1955. For more information on our methodology, click here. Democrats won a 51-49 majority that year, which grew to a 59-41 split in 2010. These battleground seats were selected by examining the results of the 2016 presidential election in the state, whether the incumbent was seeking re-election, and whether the incumbent was serving his or her first term in the Senate. Yes, I want to support Ballotpedia with my donation of $68! Shortly before the 2002 midterm election, however, Minnesota Sen. Paul Wellstone (D) was killed in a plane crash. Contact Ballotpedia at editor@ballotpedia.org for access to earlier data. Cory Gardner is Republicans' most vulnerable … Maine is home to the most hotly contested Senate race in the country. Minnesota 2nd Congressional District Election Delayed after Candidate Dies, Interactive Map for the FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast. This flipped the majority back into Republican control.[1]. Forty-three special elections to the United States Congress were held during the 113th, 114th, and 115th Congresses. Published 11/19/2019 5:00 PM ESTUpdated 9/9/2020 4:30 AM EDT. U.S. Can the Democrats retake the Senate in 2020? Democrats held 45 seats following the election, and independents who caucus with Democrats held two. Both general election candidates were Republicans. The committee’s practice has been to send nominations, regardless of whether the nominee wins a majority of the committee vote, to the full Senate to allow the chamber to decide whether he or she should be confirmed. Operations: Meghann Olshefski • Lauren Dixon • Kelly Rindfleisch • Sara Antel • Sara Horton. Return here to share it. John Hickenlooper has the lead. The vice president casts tie-breaking votes in the Senate. Democrats would need a net gain of four seats, or three in addition to winning the presidential election, to take control of the chamber. Ballotpedia features 317,125 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and researchers. Ballotpedia will add to this list if more senators announce they will not seek re-election. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. Senate following the election. Note that the below information is not comprehensive. * The arrows on the counter above the map designate the controlling party. The following summer, Wyoming Sen. Lester Hunt (D) committed suicide and a Republican was appointed to replace him. Those elected to the U.S. Senate in the 33 regular elections on November 3, 2020, will begin their six-year terms on January 3, 2021. Cory Gardner* (R) vs. John Hickenlooper (D). This table lists special Senate elections from 2019 to 2020. Republicans controlled the chamber entering 2000. Before he had his first midterm in 1926, Coolidge was re-elected as president in 1924. Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party. Twelve seats held by Democrats and 23 seats held by Republicans are up for election in 2020, including the Arizona special election and the Georgia special election. Former Gov. Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. There are 35 seats up in 2020 - including special elections in Arizona and Georgia - of which 23 are held by the GOP. Democrat Doug Jones, who faces former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville, is the most vulnerable senator from either party up in 2020. Customize your map by changing one or more states. Twelve seats held by Democrats and 23 seats held by Republicans are up for election in 2020. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. View other episodes. Calvin Coolidge's (R) first term began in August 1923 after the death of President Warren Harding (R), who was first elected in 1920. Following the midterm election, Coleman became the 51st Republican senator. We’ve been able to publish over a quarter million articles that are read by millions of people every month solely because of the generosity of our supporters. List of U.S. Congress incumbents who are not running for re-election in 2020, Special elections to the 116th United States Congress (2019-2020), South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District, North Carolina's 12th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, Montana's At-Large Congressional District, South Carolina's 5th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District, Ballotpedia's Polling Index: Congressional approval rating, United States House of Representatives elections, 2020, delaying the congressional candidate filing period, Ballot access for major and minor party candidates, Congressional incumbents not running for re-election, Cooperative of American Physicians IE Committee, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=United_States_Senate_elections,_2020&oldid=8139979, Submit a photo, survey, video, conversation, or bio, Ballotpedia's Daily Presidential News Briefing, 3 (2 Democratic gains; 1 Republican gain), 3 (2 Republican gains; 1 Democratic gain), 21 (11 Democratic gains; 10 Republican gains), 9 (6 Republican gains; 3 Democratic gains), 04/21/2020 (offices with option to pay filing fee) &, 04/24/2020 (congressional and judicial offices) &, 06/24/2020 (declaration of candidacy due), 3% of votes cast for governor in the last election, 1% of votes cast in the last general election, 3% of total votes cast for governor in the last election, not to exceed 10,000, 1,000 signatures from each congressional district, 1% of voters eligible to vote for the office in the last election, 1% of voters or 25,000 voters, whichever is fewer, 0.5% of votes cast for the party's candidate for governor in 2018, 1% of annual salary plus administrative fees, 5% of total votes cast for successful candidate in the last general election, 2%-4% of votes cast for all of the party's gubernatorial candidates in the last primary, 3% of all votes cast for governor in the last election, 1.5% of all votes cast for governor in the last election, 1% of votes cast in the district for president, 1% of annual salary multiplied by term of office, 5% of active registered voters in the state, or 10,000, whichever is less, 1% of all votes cast for Democratic gubernatorial nominee in last election, 1% of all votes cast for Republican gubernatorial nominee in last election, 1% of all votes cast for governor in the last election, 12/9/2019 (declaration of intent); 6/25/2020 (final filing deadline), 1% of all votes cast in the last election for the office being sought, 2% of all votes cast for U.S. Representative in the last election. Yep. The following map displays the 2020 Senate battlegrounds shaded by the incumbent's or most recent incumbent's political affiliation. Republicans gained two Senate seats in the 2018 general elections, bringing their majority up to 53. The National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) reported the following fundraising amounts for the 2019-20 election cycle: As of September 7, 2020, 519 candidates were filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) to run for U.S. Senate in 2020. Trump, Dems Brace for Showdown Over Ginsburg Seat P.S. GOP Sen. Cory Gardner's reelection campaign has always been perilous in a state trending toward Democrats. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau and POLITICO reporting. Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on November 3, 2020. The U.S. Senate has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents). Republicans picked up all nine seats. Email [email protected]. The numbers on the left side of the table reflect how many vacant seats were originally held by each party, while the numbers on the right side of the table show how many vacant seats each party won in special elections. Republicans lost control of the Senate in 2007 following the previous year's midterm election. In 2018, Senate seats were up for election in 10 states with a Democratic incumbent that Trump won and one state with a Republican incumbent that Clinton won. The following table compares U.S. Senate race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections as of September 2020. PRESIDENT TRUMP 219 -87 BIDEN 319 +87. External Relations: Alison Prange • Sara Key • Sarah Rosier • Kari Berger Copy Code. Will you chip in just $68 to ensure Ballotpedia remains a free, neutral resource for millions of Americans seeking trustworthy political information? Both general election candidates were Democrats. if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; Cite error:
[ tag with name "FilingDelayNov20" defined in is not used in prior text. The table below presents the results of special elections to Congress from 1986 to 2012. In 2018, 527 candidates filed with the FEC to run for U.S. Senate, including 137 Democrats and 240 Republicans. Hover over a state for more information. © 2020 Electoral Ventures LLC. ^ Excludes AZ & GA seats with special elections in 2020. In a July 2018 report, Ballotpedia defined wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in the last 100 years resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party. Wild won by a margin of 0.2 percentage points. Tip: The width in the code can be adjusted to best fit your space. … if("undefined"==typeof window.datawrapper)window.datawrapper={};window.datawrapper["kyT8O"]={},window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].embedDeltas={"100":486,"200":443,"300":421,"400":421,"500":400,"700":400,"800":400,"900":400,"1000":400},window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].iframe=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-kyT8O"),window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].iframe.style.height=window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].embedDeltas[Math.min(1e3,Math.max(100*Math.floor(window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].iframe.offsetWidth/100),100))]+"px",window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if("undefined"!=typeof a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var b in a.data["datawrapper-height"])if("kyT8O"==b)window.datawrapper["kyT8O"].iframe.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][b]+"px"}); Did you know that Ballotpedia is a nonprofit organization? Track the 2020 Senate Elections here. A total of 33 of the 100 seats are up for regular election. Special elections will also occur to fill vacancies in the 116th Congress, including 2020 special U.S. Senate elections in Arizona for the seat that John McCain (R) won in 2016 and in Georgia for the seat that Johnny Isakson (R) won in 2016. Heading into the election, Republicans have a majority with 53 seats. The following chart shows the number of filed candidates by political party. The table below details how many congressional seats changed parties as the result of a special election between 2013 and 2020. Lamb won by a margin of 0.4 percentage points. As a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization, your donations to Ballotpedia are fully tax-deductible to the extent of the law. The U.S. Senate has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents). The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) reported the following fundraising amounts for the 2019-20 election cycle: !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");if(t)(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}})}(); He needs Republican voters to come home in order to win a second term. Democrat Cal Cunningham has consistently led GOP Sen. Thom Tillis, who lags behind Trump in polls. His replacement, former Vice President Walter Mondale (D), was defeated by Norm Coleman (R). Click here for more details. [1] In 2005 and 2006, Republicans reached a high of 55 seats compared to the Democrats' 45. To break a tie, use the VP box on the interactive map to select the VP in 2021 (i.e., winning party in 2020 presidential election). Place the map on your website with this code. Congressional district presidential results from Daily Kos. The Senate changed hands again following the 2014 midterm election, and Republicans held a 54-46 majority in 2015 and 2016. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales were also considered. Recent Commentary & News Stories. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg died on September 18, 2020. All Rights Reserved. U.S. Senate waves from 1918 to 2016 are listed in the table below. With the political conventions behind us and Labor Day approaching, it's the time of year when down-ballot elections start to kick into high gear. When Ohio Sen. Robert Taft (R) died during the summer of 1953, a Democrat was appointed to replace him, which gave the Democratic Party a one-vote majority. In 2014—the last time the 33 seats up for regular election in 2020 were up for election—nine seats changed party hands. The Senate Judiciary Committee holds hearings and votes on Supreme Court nominees. This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2020 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2021 Senate based on those predictions. A historical example of this would be 1953, when the Republican majority in the Senate shrank to 48-47 after Oregon Sen. Wayne Morse left the Republican Party to become an independent. Democrats temporarily took a one-vote majority in the Senate after Vermont Sen. Jim Jeffords decided to leave the Republican Party, serve as an independent, and caucus with the Democrats in 2001. During that time, special elections were called across 26 states—13 for seats vacated by Democrats and 27 for seats vacated by Republicans. Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on November 3, 2020.A total of 33 of the 100 seats are up for regular election.. Those elected to the U.S. Senate in the 33 regular elections on November 3, 2020, will begin their six-year terms on January 3, 2021. if("undefined"==typeof window.datawrapper)window.datawrapper={};window.datawrapper["hCF0u"]={},window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].embedDeltas={"100":631,"200":498,"300":449,"400":435,"500":400,"600":400,"700":400,"800":400,"900":400,"1000":386},window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-hCF0u"),window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe.style.height=window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].embedDeltas[Math.min(1e3,Math.max(100*Math.floor(window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe.offsetWidth/100),100))]+"px",window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if("undefined"!=typeof a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var b in a.data["datawrapper-height"])if("hCF0u"==b)window.datawrapper["hCF0u"].iframe.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][b]+"px"}); From 2000 to 2018, partisan control of the U.S. Senate changed four times. Republicans won two seats in the 2018 elections, bringing their majority to 53-47 at the start of 2019. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");if(t)(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); (function() { 'use strict'; window.addEventListener('message', function(event) { if (typeof event.data['datawrapper-height'] !== 'undefined') { for (var chartId in event.data['datawrapper-height']) { var iframe = document.getElementById('datawrapper-chart-' + chartId) || document.querySelector("iframe[src*='" + chartId + "']"); if (!iframe) { continue; } iframe.style.height = event.data['datawrapper-height'][chartId] + 'px'; } } });})(); For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by all four of these projections are shown in the darkest shade. 2020 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast. Democrats think they have GOP Sen. Susan Collins on the ropes, while Republicans are convinced Collins' independent streak will survive the Trump era. Primaries held June 30, 2020. The following table includes figures on Democratic and Republican members of Congress who either left office during their term or announced that they would not seek re-election for each election year since 2012. Incumbents not seeking re-election in 2020, Staff Writer Marielle Bricker gives an overview of the 2020 United States Senate election.
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